Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.824175e-05 0.000068 0.000078 0.000090 0.000102 0.000116 0.000131
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.531507e-05 0.000058 0.000072 0.000089 0.000108 0.000130 0.000155
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.710432e-05 0.000051 0.000068 0.000089 0.000114 0.000143 0.000178
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.034236e-05 0.000045 0.000064 0.000088 0.000117 0.000153 0.000197
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.524926e-05 0.000040 0.000060 0.000087 0.000121 0.000162 0.000214
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.106574e-05 0.000036 0.000057 0.000086 0.000123 0.000170 0.000230
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.718798e-05 0.000032 0.000053 0.000083 0.000123 0.000175 0.000242
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.371797e-05 0.000028 0.000048 0.000079 0.000122 0.000177 0.000251
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.120953e-05 0.000025 0.000045 0.000077 0.000122 0.000181 0.000262
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.017486e-05 0.000024 0.000045 0.000079 0.000128 0.000193 0.000283
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.728423e-06 0.000022 0.000044 0.000079 0.000131 0.000201 0.000298
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.395469e-06 0.000022 0.000045 0.000084 0.000140 0.000217 0.000325
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.517751e-06 0.000019 0.000042 0.000081 0.000140 0.000222 0.000339
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.089129e-06 0.000017 0.000039 0.000079 0.000142 0.000229 0.000355
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.127378e-06 0.000015 0.000038 0.000079 0.000145 0.000239 0.000376
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.207726e-06 0.000014 0.000036 0.000078 0.000146 0.000246 0.000392
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.498918e-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000077 0.000148 0.000254 0.000410
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.906112e-06 0.000011 0.000032 0.000076 0.000150 0.000260 0.000427
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.354410e-06 0.000009 0.000030 0.000073 0.000149 0.000264 0.000438
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 8.909945e-07 0.000008 0.000027 0.000070 0.000147 0.000265 0.000446
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.974730e-07 0.000007 0.000025 0.000068 0.000146 0.000268 0.000458
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.019215e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000070 0.000153 0.000283 0.000486
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 3.607862e-07 0.000006 0.000025 0.000070 0.000155 0.000291 0.000504